Eurusd still holding upside channel 2 scenarios here bear flag if support break or a retracement toward 1.34 while currently still looks heavy in crosses. For bears key will be sub 1.2950 test.
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I took this short once news calmed down was a clean move. we broke trend line & we had lower high‘s on each bounce up then price moved faster so I moved my target for more 10 pips at 1.5690.
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So here is my latest Eurusd Hourly chart, notice how we broke the downside channel after we tested 1.2950.
On the upside 1.31 is key resistance and above we would see further resistance at 1.3170-80. My bet currently is for a bearish flag as long channel holds.
Chart 1h
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Cable is on the upside since the opening this week recovering post BOE minutes losses.
Watch 1h chart channel on the upside short term target 1.56 & most intersting we are breaking downside trendline. Key fibs in chart too & range levels as last week gap will be in play.
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Chris have been denying this so I catched this video on live account.
Notice this happened right at 1.34 test today 21 september in NY. Had issues too at 1.35 test. So ticks were totally missing arround. It happened yesterday at FOMC too. So watch how after freeze while chart show current bar & we have a strange gap will get the missing ticks when the freezing happened and we could see the lows!
Usually I’m a quick scalper but this plan worked over expectation and now time to banks some solid pips as I’m over +880 in first short and been even +900.
Good start after summer time.
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Eurusd broke finally below 1.3850 and we moved faster now sub 1.36. Key support on daily reamin 1.3430-70 area any close below would trigger more losses.
I see more a consolidation move first toward 1.3850 before blowing up 1.34, unless ECB and Europe can calm down at least over Greece as the move is now triggered for 2 main reasons:
- Greece failing to meet targets and all debate over ESFS / Eurobonds as all go in same scope debt issues.
- ECB comments over inflation balanced in 2012 and concern over growth
I shorted EURUSD since 31 August 1.4437. I would had taken the short at 1.4550 but was too busy at the beach that period .
So check charts
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Eurusd despite Italy vote, Europe is now getting louder over Greece to follow plan.
On daily chart we head toward a triple bottom. I would think more about a break and new year lows if we can get daily close below 1.3950. Levels on 1h Chart too.
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@ 11:45 ECB rate decision no big bang here but later in Trichet conference @ 12:30 GMT.
Also later market will be looking for 300 billions$ jobs plan. Let’s see if he can get it!
And what finland think about Greek bailout:
"Jyrki Katainen, Prime Minister of Finland, told the country may not participate in second Greek bailout if the nation's demand for collateral in exchange for financial aid for Greece is not met. Such an outcome "remains a possibility," Katainen told reporters on Wednesday. "It depends on the collateral issue."
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Cable is still under pressure but key today is Bank of England QE decision. Market is expecting more QE ( Currently stand at 200B). More QE will weaken Pound. Still don’t think BOE will be first to step in. So let’s see bounce over 1.59-1.5940 area or break lower. Key levels on the upside in chart also down trend still not broken as 1.6140-70 is key pivotal area on the upside.
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We bounced off key retracement fib yesterday 1850-53 remain a important resistance in short term. Double top building but uptrend still valid and not broken.
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I was bearish toward Eurusd as long 1.4550 was holding & failing to break. Also seeing last week Greek 2 year yield bouncing above 40% was the trigger. Charts backed that showing a bear flag building after this week opening first consolidation and then quick drop. After Ny closing each time the question was bank or stay in trade. Important to understand why staying in trade as each time key support was still under pressure and no reaction in asia and stock market was back bearish at euro zone debt. Eurchf too was accelerating and moved back below 1.15 showing too risk off & flight of Euro.
Better check the chart so clean trend & move.
Your comments too are welcome and you can always reach me on twitter @fx_13.
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Eurusd still unable to break above 1.4550 key pivotal resistance. Euro is holding these levels mostly due to USD weakness while Euro sovereign debt still building & ECB buying bonds to calm down market. The issue is not over as growth slow down. Watch 1.4550 on the upside break up toward 1.49/150. On short term we have support at 1.44 1.4370. Levels on chart.
Your comments too are welcome and you can always reach me on twitter @fx_13.
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Usdchf 1h downside channel breaks lower & move accelerate before quick pullback & back trying to break on the upside still see a test of 0.80 key pivotal support.
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On the downside short term key supports: 1.4270 then 1.4130. On the upside 1.4450 1.45 1.4550 very important resistance. Pair remain in range mostly due to USD weakness that helped Euro breath a little.
Also small gap in market opening... let's see.
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Aussie still trying to hold above key 38.2 fib 1.0360. Upside trend currently broken but move would resume up again after this consolidation move. Watch closely.
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A classic chart Usdcad still holding above key support level our old resistance. Watching closely if oil would get a breath and bounce higher on risk back. 0.9820- 0.9750 key area as show in chart.
Your comments too are welcome and you can always reach me on twitter @fx_13.
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